When the Numbers Don’t Add Up This week’s investing puzzle just got more complicated, and it’s not just inflation, jobs, or rates. It’s whether the data we’re using to make decisions is even reliable in the first place. That’s right. U.S. economic data, long considered the gold standard, is now under...
Gold had fallen out of favor for many investors since war broke out in Ukraine. Spot prices for gold ran as high as $2,066 in March 2022 before plummeting over 20% down to $1,630 in October of the same year. Many investors switched to other assets like cryptocurrencies in search of...
Data Blackout: When the Fed Loses Its Compass When the world’s most influential central bank is flying blind, investors start reaching for their own maps. With the U.S. government shutdown halting critical releases from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and CPI reports, the Federal Reserve is left making policy decisions...
Understanding the risk premium after the Maduro capture. If you had "US Government runs Venezuela" on your 2026 bingo card, please collect your prize at the front desk. Sunday nights are usually reserved for the "Sunday Scaries", dreading the morning alarm, not watching geopolitical history unfold live on television. But...
Rally or Reversal? CPI Holds the Answer As 2024 winds down, the markets are buzzing with optimism. Stocks are climbing, cryptocurrencies are soaring, and even the Federal Reserve seems poised to ease the reins on interest rates. But don’t get too comfortable just yet—the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report,...
Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Just Sounded the Alarm The stock market has taken a sharp turn, prompting some of Wall Street’s biggest names to rethink their bullish bets. Ed Yardeni, a long-time optimist, now perceives a greater likelihood of a U.S. recession and even a potential flash crash. If you’ve...
Nine months of patience may finally pay off for investors After nine months of relative quiet, the Federal Reserve might finally be ready to pull the trigger on a rate cut this September. Investors have already started pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point reduction, and history...
The Magnificent Seven: Heroes or Market Villains? Wall Street is back in record territory, thanks mainly to a handful of tech giants affectionately dubbed the "Magnificent Seven." Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and company have added an eye-popping $4.7 trillion in market capitalization since early April. While it's tempting to celebrate, investors...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
Welcome to this week's edition of The Market Pulse, your trusted source for dissecting the latest market trends and economic shifts. This week, we delve into the implications of a potential Trump 2.0 presidency and its expected impact on the investment landscape. The political horizon is once again abuzz with...