Understanding the risk premium after the Maduro capture. If you had "US Government runs Venezuela" on your 2026 bingo card, please collect your prize at the front desk. Sunday nights are usually reserved for the "Sunday Scaries", dreading the morning alarm, not watching geopolitical history unfold live on television. But...
Americans are experiencing a welcome relief at the gas pump this Thanksgiving, with gasoline prices showing a notable decline compared to earlier in the year.  This much-needed breather can be attributed to several factors, including a decrease in global crude oil prices, ample oil supplies, and reduced demand as the...
Valuation Risk Rises: Is the Market Overlooking Trouble? Another week, another shock to the markets—this time courtesy of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Investors woke up to renewed fears as the S&P 500 faces valuation pressures, with Goldman Sachs warning that rising trade tensions could crimp earnings and squeeze profit margins. The...
Gold had fallen out of favor for many investors since war broke out in Ukraine. Spot prices for gold ran as high as $2,066 in March 2022 before plummeting over 20% down to $1,630 in October of the same year. Many investors switched to other assets like cryptocurrencies in search of...
As we kick off the final week of the month and second quarter, the S&P 500 is flirting with record highs despite a slight wobble in tech stocks like Nvidia. For equity bulls, the stars seem aligned with seasonal factors providing a supportive backdrop. In today’s issue, we dive into...
The Magnificent Seven: Heroes or Market Villains? Wall Street is back in record territory, thanks mainly to a handful of tech giants affectionately dubbed the "Magnificent Seven." Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and company have added an eye-popping $4.7 trillion in market capitalization since early April. While it's tempting to celebrate, investors...
When Growth Slows and Prices Climb: The Markets’ Least Favorite Combo Markets typically don’t flinch easily—but when Goldman Sachs begins whispering "stagflation" and adjusting S&P 500 forecasts, investors take notice. As Q1 comes to a close, the S&P 500 is facing its worst quarter since mid-2022, and the outlook has become...
What's Holding Back Wall Street Bulls? It’s a strange week when Wall Street’s optimism feels…cautious. With a projected S&P 500 rise of 9% by 2025, you’d think the mood would be euphoric. Yet, the consensus seems oddly restrained, like runners pacing themselves too conservatively in a race where the finish...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Just Sounded the Alarm The stock market has taken a sharp turn, prompting some of Wall Street’s biggest names to rethink their bullish bets. Ed Yardeni, a long-time optimist, now perceives a greater likelihood of a U.S. recession and even a potential flash crash. If you’ve...