Tariff Trouble in Disguise
Markets have been in a curious mood lately. Investors seem far more concerned about what the Federal Reserve might do next than about whether tariffs could quietly sabotage the economic recovery. The latest BofA Global survey shows trade policy anxiety fading into the background, thanks in...
Markets, yields, and the election—Barclays has a bold prediction.
With the U.S. elections just days away, analysts at Barclays are projecting a scenario of relative market calm in the aftermath, expecting a mild rally that could drive both bond yields and stock prices higher. Despite concerns of potential unrest, the...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
Inflation vs. Tariffs: Who’s Really Moving the Market?
Markets are entering the new week facing a familiar double-whammy: inflation numbers on one side and political unpredictability on the other. While Wall Street has long been glued to CPI prints and Fed policy cues, this time, trade deals and tariff tweaks...
Welcome to this week’s edition of The Market Pulse! Just as we thought the economy might achieve the elusive “soft landing,” inflation is back in the spotlight, threatening to derail the rally. With Middle East tensions, port strikes, and rising energy costs, Thursday’s consumer-price-index (CPI) report could be the...
The Fed, Stocks, and the Rocky Road Ahead
As the dust settles on the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut since 2020, the stock market has found itself on a roller...wait, no rollercoasters here. Instead, we’ll say it’s on a narrow path with a few hairpin turns ahead. The Dow...
When the Market Hopes, and the Fed Holds Back
Investors love a good narrative, and this week’s features Jerome Powell as the reluctant protagonist in a drama driven by market optimism and presidential pressure. With the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 6–7, many are hoping for fireworks, but...
The Market Is Up. But Should You Be Nervous?
If May taught investors anything, it’s that a market can climb even with turbulence rumbling underneath. With the S&P 500 chalking up its best month since November 2023, equities stormed into June flirting once again with record territory. But like a...
When Containment Breaks
Markets don’t just react to headlines anymore. They calculate probabilities. But every now and then, something happens that breaks the model. This weekend, President Trump confirmed U.S. involvement in strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, shifting the equation from “maybe” to a real-time recalibration of risk. Crude oil...
The Lights Are On, But What Do We See?
Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...
