2025 Markets: Optimism Meets Reality Check
Welcome to 2025! The stock market has kicked off the new year with a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concerns. The first two trading days showed glimmers of resilience, with the S&P 500 up 1% and the Nasdaq notching its best opening since...
A Stagflation Storm?
As we dive into August, the market's pulse is quickening with anticipation. The latest inflation data is set to be released, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for July. Expectations are mixed, with some predicting a modest uptick while others warn of...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
As we kick off the final week of the month and second quarter, the S&P 500 is flirting with record highs despite a slight wobble in tech stocks like Nvidia. For equity bulls, the stars seem aligned with seasonal factors providing a supportive backdrop.
In today’s issue, we dive into...
Tariff Trouble in Disguise
Markets have been in a curious mood lately. Investors seem far more concerned about what the Federal Reserve might do next than about whether tariffs could quietly sabotage the economic recovery. The latest BofA Global survey shows trade policy anxiety fading into the background, thanks in...
The “Missing” Data That Scares the Fed
If you have been looking for clarity in the financial headlines lately, you might have noticed it is in short supply. We are currently watching a fascinating staring contest between economic data that looks decent on the surface and the underlying numbers that...
The Market Is Up. But Should You Be Nervous?
If May taught investors anything, it’s that a market can climb even with turbulence rumbling underneath. With the S&P 500 chalking up its best month since November 2023, equities stormed into June flirting once again with record territory. But like a...
Oil, Gold, and Stocks: The Inflation Indicator Trio
Welcome to this week’s Market Pulse, where we tackle the burning question: Will inflation stick around? With oil and gold prices climbing, small caps gaining ground, and geopolitical tensions flaring, investors are left wondering if inflation is staging a comeback.
As we dissect...
When Containment Breaks
Markets don’t just react to headlines anymore. They calculate probabilities. But every now and then, something happens that breaks the model. This weekend, President Trump confirmed U.S. involvement in strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, shifting the equation from “maybe” to a real-time recalibration of risk. Crude oil...
Has America Lost Its Shine? Not Really.
Markets have spent the last week behaving like a nervous animal — twitchy, unpredictable, and reacting to every noise. The phrase “Sell America” has crept into reports and strategy memos, raising alarms in both Washington and Wall Street. It’s a rare moment when...
