Tariff Trouble in Disguise Markets have been in a curious mood lately. Investors seem far more concerned about what the Federal Reserve might do next than about whether tariffs could quietly sabotage the economic recovery. The latest BofA Global survey shows trade policy anxiety fading into the background, thanks in...
Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Just Sounded the Alarm The stock market has taken a sharp turn, prompting some of Wall Street’s biggest names to rethink their bullish bets. Ed Yardeni, a long-time optimist, now perceives a greater likelihood of a U.S. recession and even a potential flash crash. If you’ve...
Markets, yields, and the election—Barclays has a bold prediction. With the U.S. elections just days away, analysts at Barclays are projecting a scenario of relative market calm in the aftermath, expecting a mild rally that could drive both bond yields and stock prices higher. Despite concerns of potential unrest, the...
When Containment Breaks Markets don’t just react to headlines anymore. They calculate probabilities. But every now and then, something happens that breaks the model. This weekend, President Trump confirmed U.S. involvement in strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, shifting the equation from “maybe” to a real-time recalibration of risk. Crude oil...
Nine months of patience may finally pay off for investors After nine months of relative quiet, the Federal Reserve might finally be ready to pull the trigger on a rate cut this September. Investors have already started pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point reduction, and history...
Unless you are into historical games, marble racing or simply live in Belarus, the average weekend warrior has been severely starved of live sports action ever since the Covid-19 pandemic threw the NBA, NHL, MLB, EPL, Formula One and other sporting seasons into limbo.  At a time when ESPN was...
What's Holding Back Wall Street Bulls? It’s a strange week when Wall Street’s optimism feels…cautious. With a projected S&P 500 rise of 9% by 2025, you’d think the mood would be euphoric. Yet, the consensus seems oddly restrained, like runners pacing themselves too conservatively in a race where the finish...
Has America Lost Its Shine? Not Really. Markets have spent the last week behaving like a nervous animal — twitchy, unpredictable, and reacting to every noise. The phrase “Sell America” has crept into reports and strategy memos, raising alarms in both Washington and Wall Street. It’s a rare moment when...
The Magnificent Seven: Heroes or Market Villains? Wall Street is back in record territory, thanks mainly to a handful of tech giants affectionately dubbed the "Magnificent Seven." Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and company have added an eye-popping $4.7 trillion in market capitalization since early April. While it's tempting to celebrate, investors...
The Rally Everyone Loves Until It Blinks Just when you thought the markets couldn't climb any higher, they do. Major US indexes are printing fresh records, economic data is looking tame enough to keep the Fed at bay, and investors are basking in the glow of what feels like a...