Economy

When Good News Turns Sour  Welcome to this week’s edition of The Market Pulse, where we untangle intriguing trends in the markets now. What happens when positive economic surprises trigger market turbulence instead of optimism? This week, the spotlight is on the paradoxical market reaction to stronger-than-expected US jobs data....

The Lights Are On, But What Do We See? Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...

The Pulse of Caution The general feeling in the markets has certainly shifted. The broad optimism that defined the rally since April seems to be evaporating, replaced by a more hesitant and selective investor stance. That "buy everything" attitude is now facing significant headwinds, and last week's sharp downturn in...

The Return of the Commodities Supercycle Welcome to the second full week of 2026, and if you thought the markets were going to ease into the new year with a gentle stretch and a yawn, you were sorely mistaken. We are seeing a mix of old-school geopolitical tension and new-age...

Data Blackout: When the Fed Loses Its Compass When the world’s most influential central bank is flying blind, investors start reaching for their own maps. With the U.S. government shutdown halting critical releases from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and CPI reports, the Federal Reserve is left making policy decisions...

When Markets Sneeze and Tariffs Bring the Cold The markets are speaking loudly — the question is, who’s listening? In a week that saw U.S. equities slide into correction and bear market territory, it wasn’t inflation, earnings, or even interest rates that lit the fire. It was Trump’s tariff barrage, and...

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Market Pulse! Just as we thought the economy might achieve the elusive “soft landing,” inflation is back in the spotlight, threatening to derail the rally. With Middle East tensions, port strikes, and rising energy costs, Thursday’s consumer-price-index (CPI) report could be the...

The Rally Everyone Loves Until It Blinks Just when you thought the markets couldn't climb any higher, they do. Major US indexes are printing fresh records, economic data is looking tame enough to keep the Fed at bay, and investors are basking in the glow of what feels like a...

The “Missing” Data That Scares the Fed If you have been looking for clarity in the financial headlines lately, you might have noticed it is in short supply. We are currently watching a fascinating staring contest between economic data that looks decent on the surface and the underlying numbers that...

Understanding the risk premium after the Maduro capture. If you had "US Government runs Venezuela" on your 2026 bingo card, please collect your prize at the front desk. Sunday nights are usually reserved for the "Sunday Scaries", dreading the morning alarm, not watching geopolitical history unfold live on television. But...