Tariff Trouble in Disguise
Markets have been in a curious mood lately. Investors seem far more concerned about what the Federal Reserve might do next than about whether tariffs could quietly sabotage the economic recovery. The latest BofA Global survey shows trade policy anxiety fading into the background, thanks in...
When the Numbers Don’t Add Up
This week’s investing puzzle just got more complicated, and it’s not just inflation, jobs, or rates. It’s whether the data we’re using to make decisions is even reliable in the first place.
That’s right. U.S. economic data, long considered the gold standard, is now under...
In a surprise move that shocked global markets, Chile, which has about 40% of the world’s known lithium reserves, announced it was proposing a plan to nationaliize production of the rare earth metal - a key component in EV battery production.
Almost immediately, lithium mining stocks nose-dived. Albemarle Corp (ABM)...
Markets, yields, and the election—Barclays has a bold prediction.
With the U.S. elections just days away, analysts at Barclays are projecting a scenario of relative market calm in the aftermath, expecting a mild rally that could drive both bond yields and stock prices higher. Despite concerns of potential unrest, the...
Nine months of patience may finally pay off for investors
After nine months of relative quiet, the Federal Reserve might finally be ready to pull the trigger on a rate cut this September. Investors have already started pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point reduction, and history...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
The Fed, Stocks, and the Rocky Road Ahead
As the dust settles on the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut since 2020, the stock market has found itself on a roller...wait, no rollercoasters here. Instead, we’ll say it’s on a narrow path with a few hairpin turns ahead. The Dow...
The Lights Are On, But What Do We See?
Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...
Has America Lost Its Shine? Not Really.
Markets have spent the last week behaving like a nervous animal — twitchy, unpredictable, and reacting to every noise. The phrase “Sell America” has crept into reports and strategy memos, raising alarms in both Washington and Wall Street. It’s a rare moment when...
