Inflation vs. Tariffs: Who’s Really Moving the Market?
Markets are entering the new week facing a familiar double-whammy: inflation numbers on one side and political unpredictability on the other. While Wall Street has long been glued to CPI prints and Fed policy cues, this time, trade deals and tariff tweaks...
The Fed, Stocks, and the Rocky Road Ahead
As the dust settles on the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut since 2020, the stock market has found itself on a roller...wait, no rollercoasters here. Instead, we’ll say it’s on a narrow path with a few hairpin turns ahead. The Dow...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
Nine months of patience may finally pay off for investors
After nine months of relative quiet, the Federal Reserve might finally be ready to pull the trigger on a rate cut this September. Investors have already started pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point reduction, and history...
Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Just Sounded the Alarm
The stock market has taken a sharp turn, prompting some of Wall Street’s biggest names to rethink their bullish bets. Ed Yardeni, a long-time optimist, now perceives a greater likelihood of a U.S. recession and even a potential flash crash. If you’ve...
The Pulse of Caution
The general feeling in the markets has certainly shifted. The broad optimism that defined the rally since April seems to be evaporating, replaced by a more hesitant and selective investor stance. That "buy everything" attitude is now facing significant headwinds, and last week's sharp downturn in...
The Fed, The Data, and The Friday Shake-up
Welcome to the middle of December. Usually, this is the time when trading desks grow quiet, volumes thin out, and everyone mentally checks out for the holidays. However, 2025 has decided to keep us on our toes until the very last second....
Markets in a Fog: Tariff Uncertainty and the Road Ahead
In a market that loves clarity, today’s investing landscape feels more like navigating through a dense, uncharted fog. Tariff uncertainty is the name of the game, and even a four-day stock rally isn't quite enough to clear the haze. While...
Markets Cool as Rates Rise and Powell Speaks
After the post-election rally set U.S. stocks soaring, the market hit a speed bump last week. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reminded investors on Thursday that rate cuts aren’t a given, injecting caution into a market that had been buoyant since Donald...
When the Numbers Don’t Add Up
This week’s investing puzzle just got more complicated, and it’s not just inflation, jobs, or rates. It’s whether the data we’re using to make decisions is even reliable in the first place.
That’s right. U.S. economic data, long considered the gold standard, is now under...
