Economy

As we dive into this week’s edition of The Market Pulse, the focus is squarely on the shifting dynamics of the market in response to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent Jackson Hole speech. After two years of anticipation, Powell signaled a potential pivot towards rate cuts—a move that...

Understanding the risk premium after the Maduro capture. If you had "US Government runs Venezuela" on your 2026 bingo card, please collect your prize at the front desk. Sunday nights are usually reserved for the "Sunday Scaries", dreading the morning alarm, not watching geopolitical history unfold live on television. But...

Welcome to this week’s edition of The Market Pulse! Just as we thought the economy might achieve the elusive “soft landing,” inflation is back in the spotlight, threatening to derail the rally. With Middle East tensions, port strikes, and rising energy costs, Thursday’s consumer-price-index (CPI) report could be the...

A full decade since the first retail stores fell victim to the inexorable march of ecommerce and Amazon Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), the retail apocalypse shows no signs of abating. The last decade has been brutal to the American retail industry, as countless traditional malls continue to shutter at record highs....

Inflation vs. Tariffs: Who’s Really Moving the Market? Markets are entering the new week facing a familiar double-whammy: inflation numbers on one side and political unpredictability on the other. While Wall Street has long been glued to CPI prints and Fed policy cues, this time, trade deals and tariff tweaks...

Valuation Risk Rises: Is the Market Overlooking Trouble? Another week, another shock to the markets—this time courtesy of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Investors woke up to renewed fears as the S&P 500 faces valuation pressures, with Goldman Sachs warning that rising trade tensions could crimp earnings and squeeze profit margins. The...

The Rally Everyone Loves Until It Blinks Just when you thought the markets couldn't climb any higher, they do. Major US indexes are printing fresh records, economic data is looking tame enough to keep the Fed at bay, and investors are basking in the glow of what feels like a...

The Lights Are On, But What Do We See? Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...

This week, the financial world is buzzing with one question: Will the Federal Reserve go for a modest 25 basis point rate cut, or will they pull the trigger on a bold 50 basis point cut? The uncertainty has sent analysts, investors, and traders alike into a tailspin. But...

Nine months of patience may finally pay off for investors After nine months of relative quiet, the Federal Reserve might finally be ready to pull the trigger on a rate cut this September. Investors have already started pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point reduction, and history...