Americans are experiencing a welcome relief at the gas pump this Thanksgiving, with gasoline prices showing a notable decline compared to earlier in the year.  This much-needed breather can be attributed to several factors, including a decrease in global crude oil prices, ample oil supplies, and reduced demand as the...
As we kick off the final week of the month and second quarter, the S&P 500 is flirting with record highs despite a slight wobble in tech stocks like Nvidia. For equity bulls, the stars seem aligned with seasonal factors providing a supportive backdrop. In today’s issue, we dive into...
The Rally Everyone Loves Until It Blinks Just when you thought the markets couldn't climb any higher, they do. Major US indexes are printing fresh records, economic data is looking tame enough to keep the Fed at bay, and investors are basking in the glow of what feels like a...
When Containment Breaks Markets don’t just react to headlines anymore. They calculate probabilities. But every now and then, something happens that breaks the model. This weekend, President Trump confirmed U.S. involvement in strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, shifting the equation from “maybe” to a real-time recalibration of risk. Crude oil...
The Lights Are On, But What Do We See? Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...
This week’s The Market Pulse dives right into a brewing market storm. Remember those rosy "soft landing" scenarios? Citigroup just threw a bucket of cold water on that optimism, predicting a hard economic landing instead. They even foresee a dramatic Fed reversal with multiple rate cuts this year –...
Tariff Trouble in Disguise Markets have been in a curious mood lately. Investors seem far more concerned about what the Federal Reserve might do next than about whether tariffs could quietly sabotage the economic recovery. The latest BofA Global survey shows trade policy anxiety fading into the background, thanks in...
When the Market Hopes, and the Fed Holds Back Investors love a good narrative, and this week’s features Jerome Powell as the reluctant protagonist in a drama driven by market optimism and presidential pressure. With the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 6–7, many are hoping for fireworks, but...
The Fed, Stocks, and the Rocky Road Ahead As the dust settles on the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut since 2020, the stock market has found itself on a roller...wait, no rollercoasters here. Instead, we’ll say it’s on a narrow path with a few hairpin turns ahead. The Dow...
A Market on the Brink… or the Verge of a Turnaround? After a rough stretch for stocks, investors have been on edge, wondering if there’s any relief in sight. Tariff tensions, rising bond yields, and global uncertainty have weighed on markets, leading to a brutal sell-off. But could there be...