As we kick off the final week of the month and second quarter, the S&P 500 is flirting with record highs despite a slight wobble in tech stocks like Nvidia. For equity bulls, the stars seem aligned with seasonal factors providing a supportive backdrop.
In today’s issue, we dive into...
When the Numbers Don’t Add Up
This week’s investing puzzle just got more complicated, and it’s not just inflation, jobs, or rates. It’s whether the data we’re using to make decisions is even reliable in the first place.
That’s right. U.S. economic data, long considered the gold standard, is now under...
Rally or Reversal? CPI Holds the Answer
As 2024 winds down, the markets are buzzing with optimism. Stocks are climbing, cryptocurrencies are soaring, and even the Federal Reserve seems poised to ease the reins on interest rates. But don’t get too comfortable just yet—the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report,...
When Growth Slows and Prices Climb: The Markets’ Least Favorite Combo
Markets typically don’t flinch easily—but when Goldman Sachs begins whispering "stagflation" and adjusting S&P 500 forecasts, investors take notice.
As Q1 comes to a close, the S&P 500 is facing its worst quarter since mid-2022, and the outlook has become...
The Pulse of Caution
The general feeling in the markets has certainly shifted. The broad optimism that defined the rally since April seems to be evaporating, replaced by a more hesitant and selective investor stance. That "buy everything" attitude is now facing significant headwinds, and last week's sharp downturn in...
The Lights Are On, But What Do We See?
Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...
When Containment Breaks
Markets don’t just react to headlines anymore. They calculate probabilities. But every now and then, something happens that breaks the model. This weekend, President Trump confirmed U.S. involvement in strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, shifting the equation from “maybe” to a real-time recalibration of risk. Crude oil...
What's Holding Back Wall Street Bulls?
It’s a strange week when Wall Street’s optimism feels…cautious. With a projected S&P 500 rise of 9% by 2025, you’d think the mood would be euphoric. Yet, the consensus seems oddly restrained, like runners pacing themselves too conservatively in a race where the finish...
Markets, yields, and the election—Barclays has a bold prediction.
With the U.S. elections just days away, analysts at Barclays are projecting a scenario of relative market calm in the aftermath, expecting a mild rally that could drive both bond yields and stock prices higher. Despite concerns of potential unrest, the...
The Market Is Up. But Should You Be Nervous?
If May taught investors anything, it’s that a market can climb even with turbulence rumbling underneath. With the S&P 500 chalking up its best month since November 2023, equities stormed into June flirting once again with record territory. But like a...
