The Lights Are On, But What Do We See? Washington is back online, and the data printers are warming up after the longest government shutdown in history. For 43 days, it felt like economists were trying to navigate a blizzard without a map, relying on patchy private reports and squinting...
The Pulse of Caution The general feeling in the markets has certainly shifted. The broad optimism that defined the rally since April seems to be evaporating, replaced by a more hesitant and selective investor stance. That "buy everything" attitude is now facing significant headwinds, and last week's sharp downturn in...
Gold had fallen out of favor for many investors since war broke out in Ukraine. Spot prices for gold ran as high as $2,066 in March 2022 before plummeting over 20% down to $1,630 in October of the same year. Many investors switched to other assets like cryptocurrencies in search of...
Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Just Sounded the Alarm The stock market has taken a sharp turn, prompting some of Wall Street’s biggest names to rethink their bullish bets. Ed Yardeni, a long-time optimist, now perceives a greater likelihood of a U.S. recession and even a potential flash crash. If you’ve...
It seems even an inverted yield curve can't dampen the market's spirits! While some investors sulk in the corner (we're looking at you, Big Bears), others are dancing to the tune of opportunity. But who's really pulling the strings in this economic symphony? Is it the Fed? The elusive...
Data Blackout: When the Fed Loses Its Compass When the world’s most influential central bank is flying blind, investors start reaching for their own maps. With the U.S. government shutdown halting critical releases from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and CPI reports, the Federal Reserve is left making policy decisions...
As September rolls in, traders around the globe find themselves gripping their portfolios a little tighter. Historically a month that has sent shivers down the spines of even the most seasoned investors, September 2024 promises to be particularly perilous. With the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cuts hanging in the...
2025 Markets: Optimism Meets Reality Check Welcome to 2025! The stock market has kicked off the new year with a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concerns. The first two trading days showed glimmers of resilience, with the S&P 500 up 1% and the Nasdaq notching its best opening since...
September is here, and with it, investors’ concerns about whether the Federal Reserve has been slow to react to shifting economic conditions. The stock market stumbled this week, adding to a sense of uncertainty as the Fed prepares for its long-anticipated interest rate cut. But has the central bank...
The “Missing” Data That Scares the Fed If you have been looking for clarity in the financial headlines lately, you might have noticed it is in short supply. We are currently watching a fascinating staring contest between economic data that looks decent on the surface and the underlying numbers that...